Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.010934 0.013233 0.016120 0.020098 0.025588 0.033139 0.044786
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.007682 0.010040 0.013361 0.018627 0.027295 0.042183 0.073181
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006123 0.008379 0.011792 0.017722 0.028788 0.051417 0.113356
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005270 0.007477 0.011012 0.017649 0.031494 0.065040 0.190096
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004753 0.006961 0.010685 0.018197 0.035695 0.086601 0.369336
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004288 0.006436 0.010205 0.018265 0.038878 0.109926 0.734502
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003819 0.005825 0.009443 0.017496 0.039529 0.126162 1.318021
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003483 0.005399 0.008946 0.017170 0.041315 0.151384 3.076358
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003319 0.005253 0.008964 0.018054 0.047544 0.216743 26.600019
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003223 0.005216 0.009190 0.019541 0.057313 0.352735 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003129 0.005170 0.009386 0.021035 0.068965 0.613953 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002937 0.004907 0.009056 0.020916 0.073312 0.846030 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002717 0.004592 0.008620 0.020536 0.077363 1.232604 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002456 0.004169 0.007882 0.019025 0.073934 1.376645 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002258 0.003858 0.007363 0.018094 0.073449 1.737877 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002128 0.003673 0.007120 0.018019 0.078767 3.010408 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002043 0.003571 0.007063 0.018583 0.090015 8.440690 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001944 0.003430 0.006884 0.018653 0.098002 27.159173 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001819 0.003223 0.006509 0.017862 0.097304 54.540142 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001724 0.003073 0.006266 0.017526 0.100996 336.621919 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001684 0.003039 0.006322 0.018436 0.120738 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001664 0.003049 0.006501 0.019967 0.155374 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001642 0.003051 0.006657 0.021508 0.201143 NaN NaN